Daily Papers

In medicine, claims remain valid when supported by empirical evidence grounded in stable biological reality. In law, by contrast, truth is contingent, defined by jurisdiction, temporal validity, and the hierarchy of authoritative sources. The recent success of large language models (LLMs) on medical licensing examinations has encouraged an expectation of comparable legal competence. This analogy, however, obscures a critical distinction between domains. Unlike in medicine, legal performance often depends less on inference than on determining when external authority is applicable, valid, and non-contradictory. We introduce a comparative diagnostic framework evaluating legal reasoning against medical baselines along four axes (knowledge recall, grounding, confidence, and robustness), uncovering a sharp domain asymmetry when applied to a new benchmark that encodes temporal validity and normative relationships. While medical LLMs reliably benefit from verified sources, legal LLMs struggle to assess when retrieved citations are useful or misleading, exhibiting overconfidence in perturbed contexts and sensitivity to superficial formatting cues. Increased model scale amplifies this tendency, revealing that stronger instruction following can coincide with weaker resistance to authoritative perturbations. These findings show that LLMs treat law as unstructured text rather than binding precedent, while revealing a tendency to over-trust authoritative but false information when external references conflict with a model's internal knowledge.

The problem of attribution is concerned with identifying the parts of an input that are responsible for a model's output. An important family of attribution methods is based on measuring the effect of perturbations applied to the input. In this paper, we discuss some of the shortcomings of existing approaches to perturbation analysis and address them by introducing the concept of extremal perturbations, which are theoretically grounded and interpretable. We also introduce a number of technical innovations to compute extremal perturbations, including a new area constraint and a parametric family of smooth perturbations, which allow us to remove all tunable hyper-parameters from the optimization problem. We analyze the effect of perturbations as a function of their area, demonstrating excellent sensitivity to the spatial properties of the deep neural network under stimulation. We also extend perturbation analysis to the intermediate layers of a network. This application allows us to identify the salient channels necessary for classification, which, when visualized using feature inversion, can be used to elucidate model behavior. Lastly, we introduce TorchRay, an interpretability library built on PyTorch.

Assessing scientific claims requires identifying, extracting, and reasoning with multimodal data expressed in information-rich figures in scientific literature. Despite the large body of work in scientific QA, figure captioning, and other multimodal reasoning tasks over chart-based data, there are no readily usable multimodal benchmarks that directly test claim verification abilities. To remedy this gap, we introduce a new benchmark MuSciClaims accompanied by diagnostics tasks. We automatically extract supported claims from scientific articles, which we manually perturb to produce contradicted claims. The perturbations are designed to test for a specific set of claim verification capabilities. We also introduce a suite of diagnostic tasks that help understand model failures. Our results show most vision-language models are poor (~0.3-0.5 F1), with even the best model only achieving 0.72 F1. They are also biased towards judging claims as supported, likely misunderstanding nuanced perturbations within the claims. Our diagnostics show models are bad at localizing correct evidence within figures, struggle with aggregating information across modalities, and often fail to understand basic components of the figure.

We develop a linear perturbative formalism to compute the response of an inhomogeneous stellar disk embedded in a non-responsive dark matter halo to perturbations like bars, spiral arms and satellite galaxy encounters. Without self-gravity to reinforce it, the response of a Fourier mode phase mixes away due to an intrinsic spread in the vertical (Omega_z), radial (Omega_r) and azimuthal (Omega_phi) frequencies, giving rise to local phase-space spirals. Collisional diffusion due to scattering of stars by structures like giant molecular clouds causes super-exponential damping of the phase-spiral amplitude. The z-v_z phase-spiral is 1-armed (2-armed) for vertically anti-symmetric (symmetric) bending (breathing) modes. Only transient perturbations with timescales (tau_{P}) comparable to the vertical oscillation period (tau_z sim 1/Omega_z) trigger z-v_z phase-spirals. Each (n,l,m) mode of the response to impulsive (tau_{P}<tau=1/(nOmega_z+lOmega_r+mOmega_phi)) perturbations is power law (sim tau_{P}/tau) suppressed, but that to adiabatic (tau_{P}>tau) perturbations is exponentially weak (sim left[-left(tau_{mathrm{P}/tauright)^alpharight]}) except resonant (tauto infty) modes. Slower (tau_{P}>tau_z) perturbations, e.g., distant encounters with satellite galaxies, induce stronger bending modes. If the Gaia phase-spiral was triggered by a satellite, Sagittarius is the leading contender as it dominates the Solar neighborhood response of the Milky Way disk to satellite encounters. However, survival against collisional damping necessitates that the impact occurred within sim 0.6-0.7 Gyr ago. We discuss how the detailed galactic potential dictates the phase-spiral shape: phase mixing occurs slower and phase-spirals are less wound in the outer disk and in presence of an ambient halo.

The rapid advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs) has established standardized evaluation benchmarks as the primary instrument for model comparison. Yet, their reliability is increasingly questioned due to sensitivity to shallow variations in input prompts. This paper examines how controlled, truth-conditionally equivalent lexical and syntactic perturbations affect the absolute performance and relative ranking of 23 contemporary LLMs across three benchmarks: MMLU, SQuAD, and AMEGA. We employ two linguistically principled pipelines to generate meaning-preserving variations: one performing synonym substitution for lexical changes, and another using dependency parsing to determine applicable syntactic transformations. Results show that lexical perturbations consistently induce substantial, statistically significant performance degradation across nearly all models and tasks, while syntactic perturbations have more heterogeneous effects, occasionally improving results. Both perturbation types destabilize model leaderboards on complex tasks. Furthermore, model robustness did not consistently scale with model size, revealing strong task dependence. Overall, the findings suggest that LLMs rely more on surface-level lexical patterns than on abstract linguistic competence, underscoring the need for robustness testing as a standard component of LLM evaluation.

Recent benchmarks reveal that models for single-cell perturbation response are often outperformed by simply predicting the dataset mean. We trace this anomaly to a metric artifact: control-referenced deltas and unweighted error metrics reward mode collapse whenever the control is biased or the biological signal is sparse. Large-scale in silico simulations and analysis of two real-world perturbation datasets confirm that shared reference shifts, not genuine biological change, drives high performance in these evaluations. We introduce differentially expressed gene (DEG)-aware metrics, weighted mean-squared error (WMSE) and weighted delta R^{2} (R^{2}_{w}(Δ)) with respect to all perturbations, that measure error in niche signals with high sensitivity. We further introduce negative and positive performance baselines to calibrate these metrics. With these improvements, the mean baseline sinks to null performance while genuine predictors are correctly rewarded. Finally, we show that using WMSE as a loss function reduces mode collapse and improves model performance.

Weather Jiu-Jitsu is a control paradigm for extreme climatological events, inspired by chaos theory. As a proposition, small, precise, targeted, and cost-inexpensive perturbations can redirect trajectories of a large dynamical system. This strategy has been demonstrated analytically in the Lorenz-63 system, where a naturally chaotic trajectory switching between two attractors can be confined to a single attractor, indefinitely, via arbitrarily small perturbations. This paper examines the feasibility of Microsoft's Aurora -- a 1.3 billion parameter global atmospheric model -- as a test bed for this strategy. This paper explores three questions: (1) Is Aurora a reliable enough simulation environment to serve as a meaningful testbed? (2) Are the perturbations required to redirect its trajectories small enough to be physically plausible? (3) Does Aurora's learned latent space (the parametric estimators on climatological attributes) yield any apparent, structured, and/or perhaps interpretable features that can convey a geo/atmospheric response to initial conditions? We find evidence consistent with all three: Aurora's modeled trajectories respond to perturbations beyond measurement drift, the perturbation magnitudes required are small relative to the model's own forecast uncertainty, and its latent representations exhibit directional structure that responds to Jiu-Jitsu-type interventions, even though that structure does not separate extreme from normal states outright. These results should be read as feasibility diagnostics rather than a demonstration of control: we do not implement or test an actual steering intervention on Aurora, and several of our findings, particularly around the model's latent-space geometry, are exploratory.

Gene perturbation models aim to predict transcriptional responses to unseen genetic interventions, but comparisons rely on heterogeneous evaluation metrics and differentially-expressed (DE) gene subsets. We investigate the consequences of these choices using eight methods across six single-gene perturbation datasets under a unified evaluation protocol. Varying the number of top DE genes reveals substantial instability in Precision-based rankings, with the winning method changing 86.7% of the time, while rankings based on the rest of the metrics remain comparatively stable. Investigating this discrepancy exposes that repeating a single predicted expression profile across cell-level rows, a standard practice for many methods, can inflate significance estimates and produce excessively large predicted significant-DE sets. Specifically we found that 67.1% of tested perturbation--gene pairs pass the significance threshold despite some of them having minuscule effects. We derive an inflation factor showing that replicated predictions can amplify the standardized Mann--Whitney statistic even after correction for tied ranks, without adding independent information. This artifact changes Precision mainly as the number of DE genes increases because for smaller cutoffs, most of the genes are already significant due to the effect-based ordering. Taking this pitfall into account in our benchmark comparison, we find that a random forest using Gene Ontology features achieves the best overall results.

This project focuses on a method to extract a frequency comb in mechanical means, for general interest and numerous practical applications in MEMS. The method of execution is the implementation of a beam that is exhibiting non-linear dynamics that is perturbed and analyzed for its transverse vibrations. The perturbation is an external harmonic driver with a chosen small amplitude and frequency (which is slightly detuned from the beam eigenfrequency), that when engaged with the unperturbed beam oscillations, causes it reach a state of "injection pulling" - an effect that occurs when one harmonic oscillator is coupled with a second one and causes it to oscillate in a frequency near its own. This causes the beam to reach SNIC bifurcation, rendering a frequency comb as desired. Theoretical analysis showed that the problem can be modelled using a non-linear equation of the beam, that translates to a form of the non-linear Duffing equation. While a solution to the dynamics function of the beam is hard to obtain in practice due to mathematical difficulties, a slow evolution model is suggested that is composed of functions of a amplitude and phase. Using several additional mathematical assumptions, the amplitude is seen to be related to the phase, while the phase equation solution is seen to be of the form of Adler's equation. These assumptions ultimately reduce the entire behaviour of the beam to a relatively simple solution to the Adler equation, which has a known analytical solution. Computerized numerical simulations are run on it to check the results and compare them to the theory and desired outcome. The results agreed with the theory and produce the expected frequency comb, showing the assumptions to be valid in extracting the comb.

A butterfly effect occurs when a local perturbation propagates through a system and produces divergence in its collective outcome. In LLM social simulations, this creates a particular challenge for scientific inference: sensitivity to implementation choices can enter agent interactions and alter the collective outcomes on which scientific claims are based. We study this problem through a repeated Prisoner's Dilemma and a social-media echo chamber, spanning representation- and design-level perturbations across four LLM families. We find that controlled perturbations can substantially alter collective outcomes, with sensitivity varying across both perturbations and models. In the Prisoner's Dilemma, changing only the representation of a matched persona shifts two-agent cooperation by 75.2 percentage points for GPT-5.2, while game framing and memory representation produce smaller or less consistent effects. Multi-agent interaction further reshapes representation sensitivity, producing amplification or attenuation depending on the model and perturbation. In the echo-chamber simulation, persona representation changes interaction targeting and is accompanied by divergence in collective interaction structure, extending representation sensitivity from agent behavior to network-level outcomes. These results show that robustness cannot be inferred from a single simulation configuration and that local sensitivity can change as it propagates through interaction. We introduce TRAILS (Taxonomy for Robustness Audits In LLM Simulations) and the Social Simulation Audit Card as a framework for systematically auditing these dependencies and calibrating the scope of scientific claims to the robustness evidence that supports them.

Prediction models can exhibit sensitivity with respect to training data: small changes in the training data can produce models that assign conflicting predictions to individual data points during test time. In this work, we study this sensitivity in recommender systems, where users' recommendations are drastically altered by minor perturbations in other unrelated users' interactions. We introduce a measure of stability for recommender systems, called Rank List Sensitivity (RLS), which measures how rank lists generated by a given recommender system at test time change as a result of a perturbation in the training data. We develop a method, CASPER, which uses cascading effect to identify the minimal and systematical perturbation to induce higher instability in a recommender system. Experiments on four datasets show that recommender models are overly sensitive to minor perturbations introduced randomly or via CASPER - even perturbing one random interaction of one user drastically changes the recommendation lists of all users. Importantly, with CASPER perturbation, the models generate more unstable recommendations for low-accuracy users (i.e., those who receive low-quality recommendations) than high-accuracy ones.

Cosmological first-order phase transitions can generate curvature perturbations through inhomogeneous quantum tunneling, as studied previously on superhorizon scales. In this work, we for the first time conduct three-dimensional lattice simulations that incorporate scalar metric perturbations and radiation perturbations, covering a range from bubble wall scales to super-horizon scales. We obtain the precise scalar perturbation power spectrum and the probability density function of energy density perturbations. Furthermore, we simulate the gravitational-wave energy spectra generated by each source during the first-order phase transition, including the scalar field itself, scalar metric perturbations, and the energy density and velocity perturbations of radiation. For gravitational waves, the contribution from other sources can exceed 1/3 of that from the scalar field at superhorizon scales. Additionally, we compare the effects of different values of the transition strength and rate on the results. This paper provides more accurate numerical results for research aimed at detecting or constraining first-order phase transitions via gravitational waves and curvature perturbations.

Predicting high-dimensional transcriptional responses to genetic perturbations is challenging due to severe experimental noise and sparse gene-level effects. Existing methods often suffer from mean collapse, where high correlation is achieved by predicting global average expression rather than perturbation-specific responses, leading to many false positives and limited biological interpretability. Recent approaches incorporate biological knowledge graphs into perturbation models, but these graphs are typically treated as dense and static, which can propagate noise and obscure true perturbation signals. We propose AdaPert, a perturbation-conditioned framework that addresses mean collapse by explicitly modeling sparsity and biological structure. AdaPert learns perturbation-specific subgraphs from biological knowledge graphs and applies adaptive learning to separate true signals from noise. Across multiple genetic perturbation benchmarks, AdaPert consistently outperforms existing baselines and achieves substantial improvements on DEG-aware evaluation metrics, indicating more accurate recovery of perturbation-specific transcriptional changes.

Existing evaluation methods largely rely on clean, static benchmarks, which can overestimate true model performance by failing to capture the noise and variability inherent in real-world user inputs. This is especially true for language models, which can face human-generated text queries containing mistakes, typos, or alternative ways of phrasing the same question. In this work, we introduce a theoretical framework for quantifying model sensitivity to prompt variants, or brittleness, that can enable us to disentangle data-induced difficulty from prompt-related variability. Using this framework, we design a novel evaluation pipeline, Brittlebench, to holistically evaluate the sensitivity of frontier models. We apply semantics-preserving perturbations to a suite of popular benchmarks, and observe model performance to degrade as much as 12%. However, these perturbations do not affect all models equally: even a single perturbation alters the relative ranking of models in 63% of cases, impacting conclusions about comparative model performance. Decomposing the total variance of both state-of-the-art open-weight and commercial models, we find that semantics-preserving input perturbations can account for up to half of the performance variance for a given model. Brittlebench highlights the need for more robust evaluations and models, and allows us to systematically understand model brittleness.

Proof autoformalization aims to translate a mathematical informal proof written in natural language into a formal proof in a formal language such as Lean~4. Several works have developed LLM-based models for proof autoformalization. However, existing evaluations have typically focused on translating well-formed informal proofs from curated datasets. We argue that a robust proof autoformalizer must remain faithful even for informal proofs that diverge from these idealized ones, and we present the first study on the robustness of proof autoformalization models. We formulate two categories of perturbations and evaluate robustness under each: a global perturbation paraphrases the informal proof in a different style, under which the formalization should remain consistent; a local perturbation alters a value, symbol, or proof step, possibly in a counterfactual way, and a robust formalization should faithfully reflect the perturbation rather than reverting to the original one or inferring a different one on its own. We build a benchmark with both perturbations on miniF2F and MATH-500, and automatically measure how stable a proof autoformalization's correctness is under global perturbations and how faithfully its output reflects local perturbations. We evaluate seven recent models, all of which are sensitive to global perturbations and mostly fail to remain faithful under local perturbations. Code and data are available via https://github.com/ucr-rai/robust-proof-autoformalization.

Modern recommender systems may output considerably different recommendations due to small perturbations in the training data. Changes in the data from a single user will alter the recommendations as well as the recommendations of other users. In applications like healthcare, housing, and finance, this sensitivity can have adverse effects on user experience. We propose a method to stabilize a given recommender system against such perturbations. This is a challenging task due to (1) the lack of a ``reference'' rank list that can be used to anchor the outputs; and (2) the computational challenges in ensuring the stability of rank lists with respect to all possible perturbations of training data. Our method, FINEST, overcomes these challenges by obtaining reference rank lists from a given recommendation model and then fine-tuning the model under simulated perturbation scenarios with rank-preserving regularization on sampled items. Our experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that FINEST can ensure that recommender models output stable recommendations under a wide range of different perturbations without compromising next-item prediction accuracy.

We prove that all excited states -sin(nx), ngeq2, of the De Gregorio equation on the torus are nonlinearly unstable in the sense of Hadamard. More precisely, perturbations arbitrarily small in H^2 leave a fixed H^1 neighborhood of the state. For every ngeq2, the linearized operator has a real eigenvalue λ_nin(0.56,0.6). To prove this, we transform the eigenvalue problem into a Fuchsian equation on the complex disk and obtain a matching condition for the eigenvalue. This condition is verified rigorously using interval arithmetic. The nonlinear instability follows from a bootstrap argument in the spirit of Guo, Hallstrom, and Spirn.

Perturbation-based post-hoc image explanation methods are commonly used to explain image prediction models. These methods perturb parts of the input to measure how those parts affect the output. Since the methods only require the input and output, they can be applied to any model, making them a popular choice to explain black-box models. While many different methods exist and have been compared with one another, it remains poorly understood which parameters of the different methods are responsible for their varying performance. This work uses the Randomized Input Sampling for Explanations (RISE) method as a baseline to evaluate many combinations of mask sampling, segmentation techniques, smoothing, attribution calculation, and per-segment or per-pixel attribution, using a proxy metric. The results show that attribution calculation, which is frequently the focus of other works, has little impact on the results. Conversely, segmentation and per-pixel attribution, rarely examined parameters, have a significant impact. The implementation of and data gathered in this work are available online: https://github.com/guspih/post-hoc-image-perturbation and https://bit.ly/smooth-mask-perturbation.

Outer-learning algorithms use infinitesimal sensitivities to propose finite changes to initialization or training parameters. For hard-ReLU training, the derivative of the finite program and the derivative of its flow limit do not by themselves specify the response at a chosen radius. We characterize the intervening regime in which the perturbation radius is proportional to the GD step. Integer event rounding then survives at leading order: smooth Euler bias shifts each discrete phase, and upstream rounding moves downstream branch boundaries. We derive the crossing indices and a uniform endpoint expansion for finitely many separated transverse events in piecewise-C^2 dynamics, away from recursive phase boundaries. In contractive affine regions, an explicit remainder and complete branch verification certify finite candidate comparisons. Scalar phase frequencies and a coupled feedback ablation test the mechanism; frozen nonlinear-network experiments show radius-dependent prediction accuracy, including incomplete branch matches and failed-word tails. Together with local AD and uniform flow consistency, the result identifies sufficient response regimes: differentiating training is a choice of perturbation resolution as well as a choice of derivative.

We present DEF (\ul{D}iffusion-augmented \ul{E}nsemble \ul{F}orecasting), a novel approach for generating initial condition perturbations. Modern approaches to initial condition perturbations are primarily designed for numerical weather prediction (NWP) solvers, limiting their applicability in the rapidly growing field of machine learning for weather prediction. Consequently, stochastic models in this domain are often developed on a case-by-case basis. We demonstrate that a simple conditional diffusion model can (1) generate meaningful structured perturbations, (2) be applied iteratively, and (3) utilize a guidance term to intuitivey control the level of perturbation. This method enables the transformation of any deterministic neural forecasting system into a stochastic one. With our stochastic extended systems, we show that the model accumulates less error over long-term forecasts while producing meaningful forecast distributions. We validate our approach on the 5.625^circ ERA5 reanalysis dataset, which comprises atmospheric and surface variables over a discretized global grid, spanning from the 1960s to the present. On this dataset, our method demonstrates improved predictive performance along with reasonable spread estimates.

To realize effective large-scale, real-world robotic applications, we must evaluate how well our robot policies adapt to changes in environmental conditions. Unfortunately, a majority of studies evaluate robot performance in environments closely resembling or even identical to the training setup. We present THE COLOSSEUM, a novel simulation benchmark, with 20 diverse manipulation tasks, that enables systematical evaluation of models across 14 axes of environmental perturbations. These perturbations include changes in color, texture, and size of objects, table-tops, and backgrounds; we also vary lighting, distractors, physical properties perturbations and camera pose. Using THE COLOSSEUM, we compare 5 state-of-the-art manipulation models to reveal that their success rate degrades between 30-50% across these perturbation factors. When multiple perturbations are applied in unison, the success rate degrades geq75%. We identify that changing the number of distractor objects, target object color, or lighting conditions are the perturbations that reduce model performance the most. To verify the ecological validity of our results, we show that our results in simulation are correlated (R^2 = 0.614) to similar perturbations in real-world experiments. We open source code for others to use THE COLOSSEUM, and also release code to 3D print the objects used to replicate the real-world perturbations. Ultimately, we hope that THE COLOSSEUM will serve as a benchmark to identify modeling decisions that systematically improve generalization for manipulation. See https://robot-colosseum.github.io/ for more details.

Time series forecasting (TSF) increasingly drives decisions in transportation, energy, finance, healthcare, and infrastructure, yet current evaluation remains overly narrow: standard benchmarks reward low held-out error, while robustness studies typically reduce failure to Gaussian noise, random masking, or bounded adversarial perturbations. This obscures the real failure modes of deployed forecasting systems. Input-side anomalies are not merely noisier inputs: they often reflect structured events that alter temporal dynamics, break cross-variable dependencies, induce regime shifts, or propagate from faulty sensors to downstream decisions. These semantic, causal, and system-level failures cannot be faithfully captured by i.i.d. perturbations alone. The rise of TSF foundation models makes this evaluation gap more urgent, as unauditable pretraining corpora make held-out generalization increasingly unreliable. We therefore advocate scenario-grounded stress testing. Each test instance should include historical inputs and future targets, together with a semantic scenario, an explicit failure operator, and a measurable difficulty level. This shift makes evaluation interpretable, attributable, and deployment-relevant and friendly, enabling the community to ask not only which model is accurate, but under what conditions it fails and why.

The evaluation of Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) systems typically examines retrieval quality and generation parameters like temperature in isolation, overlooking their interaction. This work presents a systematic investigation of how text perturbations (simulating noisy retrieval) interact with temperature settings across multiple LLM runs. We propose a comprehensive RAG Perturbation-Temperature Analysis Framework that subjects retrieved documents to three distinct perturbation types across varying temperature settings. Through extensive experiments on HotpotQA with both open-source and proprietary LLMs, we demonstrate that performance degradation follows distinct patterns: high-temperature settings consistently amplify vulnerability to perturbations, while certain perturbation types exhibit non-linear sensitivity across the temperature range. Our work yields three key contributions: (1) a diagnostic benchmark for assessing RAG robustness, (2) an analytical framework for quantifying perturbation-temperature interactions, and (3) practical guidelines for model selection and parameter tuning under noisy retrieval conditions.

Multi-agent large language model (LLM) systems often rely on verifier and critic agents to suppress hallucinations, but verification is delayed. During this delay, false claims can propagate through the agent network. We model this process as delayed consensus on a graph with grounded corrector nodes. Spectral decomposition by the grounded Laplacian yields a closed-form stability threshold for the verification dose: correction that is too strong or too delayed can turn consensus into oscillation. The most unstable regime occurs when the communication and verification delays coincide; for delay two, the threshold is the inverse golden ratio. The same framework gives a supermodular placement objective and a greedy (1-1/e)-approximation rule for assigning a limited corrector budget to influential nodes. Experiments across five open models confirm the predicted dose-delay oscillations. By contrast, grounded factual answering makes truth an absorbing boundary and eliminates the effect, suggesting that the instability is specific to signed-belief tasks while grounded verification remains stabilizing

Multi-agent systems utilizing large language models often assign authoritative roles to improve performance, yet the impact of authority bias on agent interactions remains underexplored. We present the first systematic analysis of role-based authority bias in free-form multi-agent evaluation using ChatEval. Applying French and Raven's power-based theory, we classify authoritative roles into legitimate, referent, and expert types and analyze their influence across 12-turn conversations. Experiments with GPT-4o and DeepSeek R1 reveal that Expert and Referent power roles exert stronger influence than Legitimate power roles. Crucially, authority bias emerges not through active conformity by general agents, but through authoritative roles consistently maintaining their positions while general agents demonstrate flexibility. Furthermore, authority influence requires clear position statements, as neutral responses fail to generate bias. These findings provide key insights for designing multi-agent frameworks with asymmetric interaction patterns.

The antenna-elements that make up a radio interferometer form a spatial filter that samples components of the Fourier transform of a target radio astronomical source brightness. Along the signal path, there are multiplicative and additive perturbation effects that alter the signal and that should be corrected. The process of mitigating these perturbation effects is called calibration. In this work, we develop a new and fast Maximum Likelihood based estimator of these perturbation effects using the Exponential Map and Lie groups. To evaluate its performance, we compare it to the Cramér-Rao Lower Bound and, to test the estimation time, we compare it with the Expectation Maximization algorithm, another fast Maximum Likelihood estimator. Finally, we apply our estimator to a real observation of the protoplanetary disk AS 209 made with the Submillimeter Array. We found that our proposed estimator meets the Cramér-Rao Lower Bound and it was approximately 40 times faster than the Expectation Maximization algorithm.

Large language models have demonstrated impressive performance on challenging mathematical reasoning tasks, which has triggered the discussion of whether the performance is achieved by true reasoning capability or memorization. To investigate this question, prior work has constructed mathematical benchmarks when questions undergo simple perturbations -- modifications that still preserve the underlying reasoning patterns of the solutions. However, no work has explored hard perturbations, which fundamentally change the nature of the problem so that the original solution steps do not apply. To bridge the gap, we construct MATH-P-Simple and MATH-P-Hard via simple perturbation and hard perturbation, respectively. Each consists of 279 perturbed math problems derived from level-5 (hardest) problems in the MATH dataset (Hendrycksmath et. al., 2021). We observe significant performance drops on MATH-P-Hard across various models, including o1-mini (-16.49%) and gemini-2.0-flash-thinking (-12.9%). We also raise concerns about a novel form of memorization where models blindly apply learned problem-solving skills without assessing their applicability to modified contexts. This issue is amplified when using original problems for in-context learning. We call for research efforts to address this challenge, which is critical for developing more robust and reliable reasoning models.

Accurate prediction of extreme weather events remains a major challenge for artificial intelligence-based weather prediction systems. While deterministic models such as FuXi, GraphCast, and SFNO have achieved competitive forecast skill relative to numerical weather prediction, their ability to represent uncertainty and capture extremes is still limited. This study investigates how state-of-the-art deterministic artificial intelligence-based models respond to initial-condition perturbations and evaluates the resulting ensembles in forecasting extremes. Using four perturbation strategies (Gaussian, Perlin noise, Hemispheric Centered Bred Vectors, and Huge Ensembles), we generate 50 member ensembles for the August 2022 Pakistan floods and China heatwave, and complement these case studies with a global threshold-based evaluation. Ensemble skill is assessed against ERA5 and compared with IFS ENS and the AIFS ENS probabilistic model using deterministic and probabilistic metrics. Results show that simpler perturbations like Gaussian and Perlin noise produce similarly realistic ensemble spread and probabilistic skill as flow-based approaches like HCBV and HENS, narrowing but not closing the performance gap with numerical weather prediction ensembles, or native probabilistic models which retain the highest probabilistic skill across variables. Model choice is the dominant factor for ensemble performance, not perturbation method. Across variables, models capture temperature extremes more effectively than precipitation. These findings demonstrate that simple input perturbations can extend deterministic models toward probabilistic forecasting in hardware-constrained settings, supporting artificial intelligence-driven early warning systems.

A variety of methods have been proposed to try to explain how deep neural networks make their decisions. Key to those approaches is the need to sample the pixel space efficiently in order to derive importance maps. However, it has been shown that the sampling methods used to date introduce biases and other artifacts, leading to inaccurate estimates of the importance of individual pixels and severely limit the reliability of current explainability methods. Unfortunately, the alternative -- to exhaustively sample the image space is computationally prohibitive. In this paper, we introduce EVA (Explaining using Verified perturbation Analysis) -- the first explainability method guarantee to have an exhaustive exploration of a perturbation space. Specifically, we leverage the beneficial properties of verified perturbation analysis -- time efficiency, tractability and guaranteed complete coverage of a manifold -- to efficiently characterize the input variables that are most likely to drive the model decision. We evaluate the approach systematically and demonstrate state-of-the-art results on multiple benchmarks.

GUI grounding models report over 85% accuracy on standard benchmarks, yet drop 27-56 percentage points when instructions require spatial reasoning rather than direct element naming. Current benchmarks miss this because they evaluate each screenshot once with a single fixed instruction. We introduce GUI-Perturbed, a controlled perturbation framework that independently varies visual scenes and instructions to measure grounding robustness. Evaluating three 7B models from the same architecture lineage, we find that relational instructions cause systematic accuracy collapse across all models, a 70% browser zoom produces statistically significant degradation, and rank-8 LoRA fine-tuning with augmented data degrades performance rather than improving it. By perturbing along independent axes, GUI-Perturbed isolates which specific capability axes are affected-spatial reasoning, visual robustness, reasoning calibration-providing diagnostic signal that aggregate benchmarks cannot. We release the dataset, augmentation pipeline, and a fine-tuned model.

Single-cell perturbation atlases rarely measure every intervention in every cellular context: a query perturbation is often observed in one or more source contexts but missing in the recipient context where its effect is needed. Ignoring those measured responses discards query-specific experimental evidence, whereas copying or weakly calibrating them across contexts risks transferring the wrong signal. We propose PerturbMap, which predicts a missing recipient-context effect by combining a recipient-local low-rank base with accepted proposals that transport the same perturbation's measured source responses through source-to-recipient ridge experts fit on paired training perturbations, with proposal weights determined by route reliability estimated on validation anchors. On the Perturb-CITE-seq melanoma cohort, PerturbMap improves full-effect MSE by 4.1\% over a recipient-local low-rank base and achieves lower MSE than FedAvg, zero-response, raw-copy, calibrated-copy, and identity-shuffled affine controls. It remains within 2.82times10^{-6} MSE of our centralized token-matched pooled reference, which uses a stronger training interface. A condition-mean specificity diagnostic shows the same direction: same-recipient top-10 counterpart retrieval by cosine increases from 74.5\% for the low-rank base to 80.5\% for PerturbMap.

Objective perturbation adds a random linear term to a regularized empirical risk and releases the exact perturbed minimizer. We study the finite computation obtained by releasing the N-th iterate of deterministic gradient descent on wmapsto F(w;S)+langle z,wrangle, where zsimmathcal N(0,σ^2I_d) is drawn once before optimization. For strongly convex and smooth objectives with Lipschitz Hessian, we prove an explicit condition under which the map zmapsto w_N is a C^1-diffeomorphism on the bounded domains used in the privacy argument, with a quantitative lower bound on the smallest singular value of its Jacobian. This permits a direct change-of-variables analysis of the finite iterate. For generalized linear models, the resulting privacy-profile bound has no explicit ambient-dimension factor once the iteration condition holds, and its finite-iteration correction decreases geometrically. By letting the free truncation parameter grow slowly with N, we recover the corresponding exact-minimizer certificate in the limit. We also bound the expected excess empirical risk by dσ^2/(2μ) plus a geometrically decreasing optimization term, and transfer the result to population risk without an additional multiplicative condition-number factor in the leading statistical terms.

The second part of Hilbert's 16th problem is one of the most fundamental open problems in the qualitative theory of ordinary differential equations and dynamical systems. A central unresolved question is whether the Hilbert number H(d) is finite for arbitrary polynomial degree d. (A very recent manuscript from OpenAI asserts the finiteness of H(d); see the remark at the end of this paper.) In the absence of a general upper bound theory, most existing work constructs explicit perturbed polynomial systems to obtain improved lower bounds for H(d), while rigorous upper bound estimates remain largely unavailable. This paper focuses on improving the quantitative lower bound for polynomial systems through a systematic Hierarchical Melnikov Realization framework. We construct perturbed dynamics based on an anisotropic Chebyshev Hamiltonian, where hierarchically selected perturbation coefficients generate simple zeros of the first-order Melnikov function simultaneously across multiple disjoint period annuli. Two distinct 3-adic filtrations supply the necessary logarithmic correction factors, and a Borel--Gauss analysis establishes the required local rank condition under sufficiently strong anisotropy. As the main result of this work, we prove that H(d)=Ωbigl(d^2ln^2 dbigr), which improves the previously known lower bound by a factor of ln d. The full construction of limit cycles and the resulting dynamical bounds are formally certified using Lean 4 formal verification.

Guided diffusion samplers are increasingly used to reconstruct physical fields from sparse observations, but standard diagnostics do not say how much of the reconstruction was actually determined by the data. We introduce effective data resolution for black-box generative posteriors: a comparison between the resolution warranted by the inverse problem, dof_{ref}, and the resolution realised by the sampler, dof_{samp}. A perturbation estimator measures dof_{samp} and the spatial map R(x,x) from sampler queries alone. We validate the estimator against exact references and use it to study guided diffusion. The resulting measurements show that guidance weight can strongly alter apparent information transfer, that mean, spread and resolution are not jointly corrected by one weight even with an exact prior and score, and that resolution fidelity does not follow reliably from the apparent principledness of a guidance rule.

Position bias in multiple-choice LLM evaluation is widely cited as a confound in capability comparisons, but published measurements rely on single answer-order shuffles whose results confound the bias signal with content-level noise and sampling stochasticity. I introduce inspect_permute, an open-source extension to the inspect_ai evaluation framework that runs exhaustive answer-order permutations per question and reports the chi-squared / Cramer V signature of position bias with bootstrap confidence intervals. I apply the tool across four vendors (gpt-4o-mini, claude-haiku-4-5, gemini-2.5-flash, grok-3) on five MMLU subjects, 24,000 API calls under temperature-0 generation, with falsifier predictions pre-registered via a public SHA-256 hash before half the data was observed. Position bias turns out to be statistically detectable only within a roughly 60-95% base-accuracy Goldilocks zone. Below it, processing-load dominance swamps subject-specific signal; above it, ceiling effects compress the variance below the chi-squared test resolution. Detectable cells separate into two mechanism types: monotone A-to-D decrease (processing_load, in low-tier models) and non-monotone D-drop (content_ambiguity, in a narrow capability band). Standard MMLU places every frontier-tier model above the detection band, so absence of signal there should be read as not measurable, not unbiased. Together with the ceiling-effect characterisation in arXiv:2606.26185, this work brackets the detectable region of position-bias measurement and makes the field central question askable in a verifiable form. Package, data, preregistration under MIT.

Before developing a Document Layout Analysis (DLA) model in real-world applications, conducting comprehensive robustness testing is essential. However, the robustness of DLA models remains underexplored in the literature. To address this, we are the first to introduce a robustness benchmark for DLA models, which includes 450K document images of three datasets. To cover realistic corruptions, we propose a perturbation taxonomy with 36 common document perturbations inspired by real-world document processing. Additionally, to better understand document perturbation impacts, we propose two metrics, Mean Perturbation Effect (mPE) for perturbation assessment and Mean Robustness Degradation (mRD) for robustness evaluation. Furthermore, we introduce a self-titled model, i.e., Robust Document Layout Analyzer (RoDLA), which improves attention mechanisms to boost extraction of robust features. Experiments on the proposed benchmarks (PubLayNet-P, DocLayNet-P, and M^6Doc-P) demonstrate that RoDLA obtains state-of-the-art mRD scores of 115.7, 135.4, and 150.4, respectively. Compared to previous methods, RoDLA achieves notable improvements in mAP of +3.8%, +7.1% and +12.1%, respectively.

The Perturbation Discrimination Score (PDS) is increasingly used to evaluate whether predicted perturbation effects remain distinguishable, including in Systema and the Virtual Cell Challenge. However, its behavior in high-dimensional gene-expression settings has not been examined in detail. We show that PDS is highly sensitive to the choice of similarity or distance measure and to the scale of predicted effects. Analysis of observed perturbation responses reveals that ell_1 and ell_2-based PDS behave very differently from cosine-based measures, even after norm matching. We provide geometric insight and discuss implications for future discrimination-based evaluation metrics.

Virtual cell models should capture phenotypes induced by specific perturbations. However, image-based models are typically trained and evaluated to match real-image distributions, which alone does not explicitly prioritize perturbation-specific biological responses. Recent approaches add biological signals through reinforcement-learning post-training or inference-time steering, raising a central question: where should biological response information enter the generative pipeline? We introduce PerturbBridge, a stochastic data-to-data bridge model that directly supervises perturbation-specific phenotypes in predicted perturbed images during training. PerturbBridge jointly optimizes bridge regression and differentiable biological response losses, with biological gradients passing through a frozen image encoder. We further introduce perturbation-response evaluations based on downstream classification and retrieval. Across three microscopy benchmarks for perturbation profiling and subcellular imaging, PerturbBridge surpasses CellFlux in biological fidelity, image quality, and sampling efficiency. On BBBC021, mechanism-of-action classification improves by 5.66 and 7.5 percentage points with morphological and learned visual features, respectively. On JUMP and AllenCell, retrieval Hit@10 and Hit@1 improve by 1.77 and 7.15 percentage points, respectively. On BBBC021 and JUMP, PerturbBridge achieves lower FID with 80% fewer model evaluations than CellFlux. Overall, these results show that directly supervising perturbation responses during training improves phenotypic fidelity while enabling efficient cellular image generation. Code is available at https://github.com/yyc1215lll-creator/PerturbBridge.

Large language models (LLMs) are widely used as information sources, yet small changes in semantic assumptions can destabilize their beliefs. We introduce P-StaT (Perturbation Stability of Truth), a framework for evaluating belief stability under matched semantic perturbations in both representational and behavioral settings. Across 21 LLMs and three domains, we compare perturbations involving familiar Fictional statements against synthetically generated and unfamiliar Synthetic statements. Unfamiliar Synthetic perturbations generally induce greater epistemic instability than familiar Fictional perturbations, with behavioral belief retraction rates frequently exceeding 0.5 (50%). Finally, exploratory clustering analyses reveal recurring themes among retracted statements, including ambiguity, technical terminology, and obscure concepts. These results show that epistemic familiarity is systematically associated with stability under semantic reframing, suggesting that stability-based analyses can complement accuracy-based benchmarks when evaluating LLM robustness and reliability. Code and data are available at https://github.com/samanthadies/P-StaT.

A central goal in systems biology and drug discovery is to predict the transcriptional response of cells to perturbations. This task is challenging due to the noisy and sparse nature of single-cell measurements, as well as the fact that perturbations often induce population-level shifts rather than changes in individual cells. Existing deep learning methods typically assume cell-level correspondences, limiting their ability to capture such global effects. We present scDFM, a generative framework based on conditional flow matching that models the full distribution of perturbed cells conditioned on control states. By incorporating a maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) objective, our method aligns perturbed and control populations beyond cell-level correspondences. To further improve robustness to sparsity and noise, we introduce the Perturbation-Aware Differential Transformer (PAD-Transformer), a backbone architecture that leverages gene interaction graphs and differential attention to capture context-specific expression changes. Across multiple genetic and drug perturbation benchmarks, scDFM consistently outperforms prior methods, demonstrating strong generalization in both unseen and combinatorial settings. In the combinatorial setting, it reduces mean squared error by 19.6% relative to the strongest baseline. These results highlight the importance of distribution-level generative modeling for robust in silico perturbation prediction. The code is available at https://github.com/AI4Science-WestlakeU/scDFM

Rate-induced tipping ("R-tipping") in ecological modelling is characterised by too-rapid change of an environmental parameter causing collapse of a population without any bifurcation being crossed ("B-tipping"). A well-known example of a slow-fast predator-prey model in which R-tipping is observed [Vanselow, Wieczorek, Feudel, Journal of Theoretical Biology, 479, 64-72 (2019)] suffers from unecological "resurgence", whereby populations driven to functional extinction recover towards stable coexistence. We propose an analytically tractable model, incorporating a strong Allee effect into the prey dynamics in a slow-fast Lotka-Volterra-type predator-prey system, which induces bistability and thus renders the extinction state a genuine attractor. Applying geometric singular perturbation theory (GSPT), we describe the dynamics of the extended model that is obtained by "ramping" of the inverse prey carrying capacity. We show the presence of a parabolic-shaped, folded critical manifold which admits a folded saddle singularity, the strong canard of which separates solutions that track the moving coexistence state from those that tip to extinction. The analytical simplicity of our model allows us to derive explicit expressions for the critical rate that separates "tracking" from "tipping" dynamics. Finally, we argue that our system represents a minimal model for rate-induced tipping to extinction, in that it incorporates three essential ingredients: bistability, a folded critical manifold, and a folded-saddle-type canard.

The capacity to precisely edit genomes has outpaced our ability to predict the consequences. A cell can be genetically perfect and therapeutically useless: edited exactly as intended, yet unstable, drifting toward unintended fates, or selected for properties that compromise safety. This paradox reflects a deeper gap in how we evaluate biological intervention. Current frameworks excel at measuring what was done to a cell but remain blind to what the cell has become. We argue that this blindness stems from treating cells as collections of independent variables rather than as dynamical systems occupying positions on high-dimensional state manifolds. Drawing on Waddington's epigenetic landscape, we propose geometric stability as a missing axis of evaluation: the directional coherence of cellular responses to perturbation. This metric distinguishes interventions that guide cells coherently toward stable states from those that scatter them across the state manifold. Validation across diverse perturbation datasets reveals that geometric stability captures regulatory architecture invisible to conventional metrics, discriminating pleiotropic master regulators from lineage-specific factors without prior biological annotation. As precision medicine increasingly relies on cellular reprogramming, the question shifts from ``did the intervention occur?'' to ``is the resulting state stable?'' Geometric stability provides a framework for answering.

Building Virtual Cells that can accurately simulate cellular responses to perturbations is a long-standing goal in systems biology. A fundamental challenge is that high-throughput single-cell sequencing is destructive: the same cell cannot be observed both before and after a perturbation. Thus, perturbation prediction requires mapping unpaired control and perturbed populations. Existing models address this by learning maps between distributions, but typically assume a single fixed response distribution when conditioned on observed cellular context (e.g., cell type) and the perturbation type. In reality, responses vary systematically due to unobservable latent factors such as microenvironmental fluctuations and complex batch effects, forming a manifold of possible distributions for the same observed conditions. To account for this variability, we introduce PerturbDiff, which shifts modeling from individual cells to entire distributions. By embedding distributions as points in a Hilbert space, we define a diffusion-based generative process operating directly over probability distributions. This allows PerturbDiff to capture population-level response shifts across hidden factors. Benchmarks on established datasets show that PerturbDiff achieves state-of-the-art performance in single-cell response prediction and generalizes substantially better to unseen perturbations. See our project page (https://katarinayuan.github.io/PerturbDiff-ProjectPage/), where code and data will be made publicly available (https://github.com/DeepGraphLearning/PerturbDiff).

As the demand to integrate Artificial Intelligence into high-stakes environments continues to grow, explaining the reasoning behind neural-network predictions has shifted from a theoretical curiosity to a strict operational requirement. Our work is motivated by the explanations of autoregressive neural predictions on dynamic physical fields, as in weather forecasting. Gradient-based feature attribution methods are widely used to explain the predictions on such data, in particular due to their scalability to high-dimensional inputs. It is also interesting to remark that gradient-based techniques such as SmoothGrad are now standard on images to robustify the explanations using pointwise averages of the attribution maps obtained from several noised inputs. Our goal is to efficiently adapt this aggregation strategy to dynamic physical fields. To do so, our first contribution is to identify a fundamental failure mode when averaging perturbed attribution maps on dynamic physical fields: stochastic input perturbations do not induce stationary amplitude noise in attribution maps, but instead cause a geometric displacement of the attributions. Consequently, pointwise averaging blurs these spatially misaligned features. To tackle this issue, we introduce WassersteinGrad, which extracts a geometric consensus of perturbed attribution maps by computing their entropic Wasserstein barycenter. The results, obtained on regional weather data and a meteorologist-validated neural model, demonstrate promising explainability properties of WassersteinGrad over gradient-based baselines across both single-step and autoregressive forecasting settings.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in healthcare, but their reliability is heavily influenced by user-driven factors such as question phrasing and the completeness of clinical information. In this study, we examined how misinformation framing, source authority, model persona, and omission of key clinical details affect the diagnostic accuracy and reliability of LLM outputs. We conducted two experiments: one introducing misleading external opinions with varying assertiveness (perturbation test), and another removing specific categories of patient information (ablation test). Using public datasets (MedQA and Medbullets), we evaluated proprietary models (GPT-4o, Claude 3.5 Sonnet, Claude 3.5 Haiku, Gemini 1.5 Pro, Gemini 1.5 Flash) and open-source models (LLaMA 3 8B, LLaMA 3 Med42 8B, DeepSeek R1 8B). All models were vulnerable to user-driven misinformation, with proprietary models especially affected by definitive and authoritative language. Assertive tone had the greatest negative impact on accuracy. In the ablation test, omitting physical exam findings and lab results caused the most significant performance drop. Although proprietary models had higher baseline accuracy, their performance declined sharply under misinformation. These results highlight the need for well-structured prompts and complete clinical context. Users should avoid authoritative framing of misinformation and provide full clinical details, especially for complex cases.

Instruction-tuning plays a vital role in enhancing the task-solving abilities of large language models (LLMs), improving their usability in generating helpful responses on various tasks. However, previous work has demonstrated that they are sensitive to minor variations in instruction phrasing. In this paper, we explore whether introducing perturbations in instruction-tuning data can enhance LLMs' resistance against noisy instructions. We focus on how instruction-tuning with perturbations, such as removing stop words or shuffling words, affects LLMs' performance on the original and perturbed versions of widely-used benchmarks (MMLU, BBH, GSM8K). We further assess learning dynamics and potential shifts in model behavior. Surprisingly, our results suggest that instruction-tuning on perturbed instructions can, in some cases, improve downstream performance. These findings highlight the importance of including perturbed instructions in instruction-tuning, which can make LLMs more resilient to noisy user inputs.

Perturbative availability poisons (PAPs) add small changes to images to prevent their use for model training. Current research adopts the belief that practical and effective approaches to countering PAPs do not exist. In this paper, we argue that it is time to abandon this belief. We present extensive experiments showing that 12 state-of-the-art PAP methods are vulnerable to Image Shortcut Squeezing (ISS), which is based on simple compression. For example, on average, ISS restores the CIFAR-10 model accuracy to 81.73%, surpassing the previous best preprocessing-based countermeasures by 37.97% absolute. ISS also (slightly) outperforms adversarial training and has higher generalizability to unseen perturbation norms and also higher efficiency. Our investigation reveals that the property of PAP perturbations depends on the type of surrogate model used for poison generation, and it explains why a specific ISS compression yields the best performance for a specific type of PAP perturbation. We further test stronger, adaptive poisoning, and show it falls short of being an ideal defense against ISS. Overall, our results demonstrate the importance of considering various (simple) countermeasures to ensure the meaningfulness of analysis carried out during the development of PAP methods.

Multimodal rumor detectors increasingly rely on retrieved evidence, yet relevant evidence is not necessarily sufficient for verification. Missing provenance, duplicated reports, and unresolved contradictions can produce confident predictions without adequate support. We introduce SAFE-MR, a framework that separates claim veracity from evidence sufficiency. The method decomposes image-text posts into verifiable claims, constructs a relation-aware claim-evidence graph, and aggregates evidence using provenance and contextual compatibility. Separate veracity and sufficiency heads support selective prediction, while evidence interventions encourage stability under irrelevant additions and sensitivity to evidence removal. On NewsCLIPpings, VERITE, and XFacta, SAFE-MR achieves macro-F1 scores of 91.2%, 75.8%, and 85.2%, respectively. Against the matched backbone with evidence, its macro-F1 gains are 2.2, 4.9, and 4.8 percentage points. On the diagnostic selection set, SAFE-MR reduces AURC from 0.105 for maximum-probability rejection to 0.075 and lowers error at 80% coverage from 13.8% to 8.5%. Evidence-perturbation and ablation results support the role of sufficiency learning and intervention training in improving selective verification.

Although model editing has shown promise in revising knowledge in Large Language Models (LLMs), its impact on the inherent capabilities of LLMs is often overlooked. In this work, we reveal a critical phenomenon: even a single edit can trigger model collapse, manifesting as significant performance degradation in various benchmark tasks. However, benchmarking LLMs after each edit, while necessary to prevent such collapses, is impractically time-consuming and resource-intensive. To mitigate this, we propose using perplexity as a surrogate metric, validated by extensive experiments demonstrating changes in an edited model's perplexity are strongly correlated with its downstream task performances. We further conduct an in-depth study on sequential editing, a practical setting for real-world scenarios, across various editing methods and LLMs, focusing on hard cases from our previous single edit studies. The results indicate that nearly all examined editing methods result in model collapse after only few edits. To facilitate further research, we have utilized GPT-3.5 to develop a new dataset, HardEdit, based on those hard cases. This dataset aims to establish the foundation for pioneering research in reliable model editing and the mechanisms underlying editing-induced model collapse. We hope this work can draw the community's attention to the potential risks inherent in model editing practices.

Sharpness Aware Minimization (SAM) enhances performance across various neural architectures and datasets. As models are continually scaled up to improve performance, a rigorous understanding of SAM's scaling behaviour is paramount. To this end, we study the infinite-width limit of neural networks trained with SAM, using the Tensor Programs framework. Our findings reveal that the dynamics of standard SAM effectively reduce to applying SAM solely in the last layer in wide neural networks, even with optimal hyperparameters. In contrast, we identify a stable parameterization with layerwise perturbation scaling, which we call Maximal Update and Perturbation Parameterization (μP^2), that ensures all layers are both feature learning and effectively perturbed in the limit. Through experiments with MLPs, ResNets and Vision Transformers, we empirically demonstrate that μP^2 achieves hyperparameter transfer of the joint optimum of learning rate and perturbation radius across model scales. Moreover, we provide an intuitive condition to derive μP^2 for other perturbation rules like Adaptive SAM and SAM-ON, also ensuring balanced perturbation effects across all layers.

Despite the rapid progress of multimodal large language models (MLLMs), they have largely overlooked the importance of visual processing. In a simple yet revealing experiment, we interestingly find that language-only models, when provided with image captions, can achieve comparable or even better performance than MLLMs that consume raw visual inputs. This suggests that current MLLMs may generate accurate visual descriptions but fail to effectively integrate them during reasoning. Motivated by this, we propose a simple visual perturbation framework that enhances perceptual robustness without requiring algorithmic modifications or additional training data. Our approach introduces three targeted perturbations: distractor concatenation, dominance-preserving mixup, and random rotation, that can be easily integrated into existing post-training pipelines including SFT, DPO, and GRPO. Through extensive experiments across multiple datasets, we demonstrate consistent improvements in mathematical reasoning performance, with gains comparable to those achieved through algorithmic changes. Additionally, we achieve competitive performance among open-source 7B RL-tuned models by training Qwen2.5-VL-7B with visual perturbation. Through comprehensive ablation studies, we analyze the effectiveness of different perturbation strategies, revealing that each perturbation type contributes uniquely to different aspects of visual reasoning. Our findings highlight the critical role of visual perturbation in multimodal mathematical reasoning: better reasoning begins with better seeing. Our code is available at https://github.com/YutingLi0606/Vision-Matters.

We examine how closely pretrained LeWorldModel (LeWM) reproduces the effects of small action changes. Using matched simulator and model responses, we measure action sensitivity with Gram matrices at three perturbation scales. Across nearly a thousand states from Reacher and OGBench Cube, the most sensitive action directions differ by median angles of about 36^circ and 42^circ, respectively, at the smallest scale. Increasing the perturbation tenfold reduces median normalized Gram discrepancy by roughly 70\% on Reacher and 47\% on Cube. Geometry measured in pixels and embeddings varies more across scales than the chosen physical-state geometry. On held-out directions, environment Grams achieve median embedding response errors of 17\% and 28\%, compared with 26\% and 38\% for an isotropic reference with the same trace. LeWM's errors are higher at this scale. These findings support scale-specific evaluation of action sensitivity; its effect on control remains an open question.

Inverse inequalities are essential for controlling derivative growth and ensuring stable sampling in kernel approximation. Existing whole-space and single-scale estimates provide an established analytical basis, but their extension to multiscale analytic spaces on finite intervals requires uniform control of boundary effects and cross-scale cancellation. This paper establishes unweighted interval \(L^2\) inverse inequalities for spaces generated by primitives of kernels with positive exponential spectra. By retaining exterior diagonal energy and controlling off-diagonal interactions through one-sided estimates with endpoint-distance weights, we derive uniform coefficient bounds for normalized high derivatives. A synthesis-operator perturbation argument extends these bounds to positive spectral mixtures, while adjacent-derivative comparison and interval interpolation yield an inverse bound of order \(h_*^{-1}\), where \(h_*\) is the smallest scale. Under geometric scale separation and within-scale centre separation, the constant is independent of the number of scales and centres and their distances from the endpoints, allowing endpoint centres and coincident centres across scales. The coefficient lower bound approaches the optimal limit \(1/2\). Two-centre constructions establish the sharpness of the scale exponent for every fixed kernel in the class and, for a single exponential spectrum, a sharp deficit of order \(q^{-1/2}\) from \(1/2\) for the best uniform coefficient lower bound, where \(q\) is the derivative order. Numerical illustrations for Cauchy and logistic kernels demonstrate coefficient stability in several multiscale configurations. These results extend interval inverse estimates to multiscale analytic kernel spaces with endpoint centres and provide quantitative conditions for deterministic sampling stability.

Predicting single-cell transcriptomic responses to genetic perturbations is central to functional genomics and virtual-cell modeling. Existing approaches, however, typically predict an entire expression profile as a whole, leaving the order in which individual gene responses are generated unmodeled. To address this problem, we introduce D^{2R^{2}} (Discrete Diffusion with Regulation Reinforcement), which reformulates perturbation prediction as regulation-guided gene-wise progressive generation. A Masked Discrete Diffusion Model represents expression as ordinal tokens and reconstructs a fully masked profile step by step, allowing generated gene responses to condition those that remain masked. A Regulatory Policy Module initializes the generation policy from a gene regulatory network inferred from control cells and adapts it to the perturbation and current partially generated state. Then, group-relative policy optimization refines only the ordering policy using final perturbation-effect agreement as reward. Across Norman19 and VCC-H1, D^{2}R^{2} achieves the best performance on all five metrics on Norman19 and remains competitive on H1. Controlled ablations holding the generator and generation budget fixed show that biological-prior ordering improves over random ordering and is more reliable than uncertainty-based heuristics, whereas reversing the biological-prior ordering degrades every metric. Biological analyses further show that the refined policy prioritizes regulatory genes early while promoting perturbation-specific transcription factors and responsive genes. These results establish gene generation order as an effective, controllable, and biologically interpretable dimension of single-cell perturbation prediction.

Model attribution is a popular tool to explain the rationales behind model predictions. However, recent work suggests that the attributions are vulnerable to minute perturbations, which can be added to input samples to fool the attributions while maintaining the prediction outputs. Although empirical studies have shown positive performance via adversarial training, an effective certified defense method is eminently needed to understand the robustness of attributions. In this work, we propose to use uniform smoothing technique that augments the vanilla attributions by noises uniformly sampled from a certain space. It is proved that, for all perturbations within the attack region, the cosine similarity between uniformly smoothed attribution of perturbed sample and the unperturbed sample is guaranteed to be lower bounded. We also derive alternative formulations of the certification that is equivalent to the original one and provides the maximum size of perturbation or the minimum smoothing radius such that the attribution can not be perturbed. We evaluate the proposed method on three datasets and show that the proposed method can effectively protect the attributions from attacks, regardless of the architecture of networks, training schemes and the size of the datasets.

AI-based cellular perturbation prediction is essential to accelerate drug discovery and therapeutic identification. However, perturbation-specific signals are generally obscured by cellular complexity, making it difficult for existing methods to correctly capture perturbation effects. To address this problem, we propose PerturbEnergy, which introduces a conditional energy-based prior over perturbation representations. It assigns lower energy (higher probability) to representations compatible with the given perturbation and higher energy to others, thereby explicitly tilting the latent space toward perturbation-preferred regions. Besides, PerturbEnergy can be integrated into autoencoder architectures as we find its Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO) is equivalent to the ELBO of the complete autoencoder. We further prove that optimizing PerturbEnergy increases the lower bound on the conditional mutual information between representation and perturbation. Extensive experiments on four benchmark datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our PerturbEnergy: it improves perturbation recognition especially in latent space with improvement of up to 83.2\%; It also achieves state-of-the-art performance for predicting top-50/100/200 differentially expressed gene(DEG) response and remaining competitive on highly variable gene(HVG) prediction. The code is provided: https://github.com/BlueWhaleLab/PerturbEnergy

Diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in generative modeling, with their sampling procedures routinely modified to control generation and improve efficiency. These modifications introduce perturbations along the sampling trajectory, raising a central question: how do such perturbations affect generated output? To address this question, we develop a theoretical framework to investigate perturbation propagation, combining dynamical analysis of the sampling process with an information-theoretic characterization of output responses. Within this framework, we quantify perturbation strength using the Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence between perturbed and reference trajectory distributions, termed as path cost, which is shown to bound, but do not determine, changes in the output distribution. Building on this analysis, we derive a response identity that connects the propagation and accumulation of local perturbations with the information captured by a selected feature mean, explaining why changes in the output distribution can remain undetected by its first-order response. We test our theoretical analysis through controlled interventions at equal path cost in pretrained diffusion models, revealing distinct patterns of output sensitivity across sampling stages and spatial frequencies. To assess whether our framework can diagnose perturbations arising from practical approximations, we apply it to cache-based acceleration and show that our propagation analysis reliably identifies sampling intervals where caching causes larger image errors.

Predicting single-cell responses to genetic and chemical perturbations is important for understanding regulatory mechanisms and prioritizing therapeutic interventions. Existing methods have made progress by modeling perturbation-conditioned expression shifts with neural networks, graph priors, foundation-model representations, or distributional generative models. However, combinatorial perturbation prediction remains challenging because much of the response can be explained by additive single-perturbation effects, while the biologically informative signal often lies in a smaller non-additive residual induced by perturbation interactions. Directly generating the full post-perturbation expression profile may therefore allocate substantial capacity to the dominant additive component and underemphasize synergy-specific structure. To address this issue, we propose SynGeneFlow, a synergy-aware flow matching framework that anchors the source distribution at an additive prior and learns a residual flow toward the true perturbed state. SynGeneFlow further incorporates perturbation-conditioned gene interaction modeling, where a static gene-gene mask provides biological structure and a perturbation-dependent deformation bias dynamically modulates gene-gene coupling. To preserve population-level response structure, we align both endpoint distributions and biological residual distributions with MMD-based regularization. We evaluate SynGeneFlow on genetic and drug perturbation benchmarks under observed-single, held-out, and cross-modality settings. The results demonstrate that residualizing flow matching around additive perturbation effects provides a biologically grounded and robust framework for single-cell perturbation response prediction.

Are AI agents tools, co-authors, or researchers? We present a quantified case study (N=1): a physicist supervising an AI coding agent (Claude Code, Sonnet and Opus models) over 12 work days and 57 sessions to build CLAX-PT, a differentiable one-loop perturbation theory module in JAX. We documented and classified 15 supervision events by intervention level. The agent resolved ten autonomously by iterating against oracle tests. Two more by the physicist's domain knowledge. The three it could not -- all evaded oracle detection -- share a common property: the agent treated symptom reduction as root-cause resolution. It spent 33 of the 57 sessions adjusting coefficients within a code architecture that could not represent the target physics, and could not re-evaluate its CLASS-PT branch choice even when prompted to reconsider; only an injected physics concept (anisotropic BAO damping) triggered the redesign. Separately, the agent committed a calibrated correction that passed all oracle tests but corresponded to no quantity in the theory, predicting wrong values at any other cosmology. The fudge factor was caught and replaced within the same session. Three supervision practices proved critical for catching what oracle tests missed: testing at diverse parameter points beyond the fiducial calibration; shared changelogs that surfaced stalled exploration across sessions; and an explicit rule against unphysical numerical patches. In this case, supervision design, not model capability, determined whether the agent's output was trustworthy. Closing the gap would require agents that propose architectural alternatives rather than optimize within a given structure, and distinguish predictive adequacy from explanatory correctness -- capabilities not exhibited here, not obviously addressed by scaling alone. [Abridged.]

While auditing a perturbation-based OOD detector on a document benchmark, we recorded an AUROC of 0.326 -- well below the 0.5 chance level. The cause is a benchmark leak: the designated "OOD" class is one the model was trained on, so its examples sit inside the in-distribution fit set and the detector is penalized for correctly ranking them as familiar. Deleting the class and retraining 35 models across two domains raises the score to 0.911. We distill the contamination into a leak fingerprint -- near-perfect supervised decodability (AUROC approximately 1) coupled with unsupervised detection collapsed below 0.65 -- and validate it on a controlled battery of 52 settings (20 leaked, 32 clean) across ResNet-50 and ViT-B/16 on CIFAR-10/100, achieving sensitivity 18/20 and specificity 31/32 in embedding space; the matched fit-set-exclusion controls are perfect at 20/20. An in-the-wild audit of 24 standard near/far OOD benchmark pairs fires on exactly one (the intrinsically hard CIFAR-100 vs CIFAR-10 pair) and on no far-OOD pair, confirming specificity and that standard cross-dataset construction is clean. Under the corrected protocol, perturbation signals are decodable but not detectable: a supervised reader recovers the OOD signal (AUROC 0.87-1.00) while no unsupervised detector does, and the perturbation method does not improve on plain Mahalanobis distance. We provide a theoretical account of why and, for transparency, retract an earlier circular correlation. The contributions are a corrected protocol and a validated leak diagnostic, not a new OOD method.

We present a comprehensive treatment of relative oscillation theory for finite Jacobi matrices. We show that the difference of the number of eigenvalues of two Jacobi matrices in an interval equals the number of weighted sign-changes of the Wronskian of suitable solutions of the two underlying difference equations. Until now only the case of perturbations of the main diagonal was known. We extend the known results to arbitrary perturbations, allow any (half-)open and closed spectral intervals, simplify the proof, and establish the comparison theorem.

Reinforcement learning (RL) has become central to post-training of large language models. Recent advances in RL for Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models have primarily focused on improving optimization stability and training efficiency, while treating the expert selection as a fixed component. Since routing determines the sparse computation paths that induce output distributions, expert selection offers an additional source of rollout diversity. Through empirical analysis, we find that perturbing expert routing effectively alters model output and increases rollout diversity, which is similar to increasing the decoding temperature. However, direct perturbation can activate unsuitable experts and substantially degrade rollout quality. Motivated by these observations, we introduce Expert-Space Exploration Reinforcement Learning (ESRL), an architecture-aware framework that explicitly explores the expert-routing space of MoE models. ESRL preserves high-confidence experts as anchors, and restricts stochastic routing to a plausible candidate pool, thereby retaining reliable computation paths. The perturbation strength is further adapted according to router entropy to avoid over-perturbation. To mitigate the routing mismatch introduced by perturbation, ESRL records the expert paths used during rollout and replays them during policy optimization. Experiments demonstrate that ESRL achieves the best performance across MoE backbones with top-K, top-1, and shared-expert routing, as well as across mathematics, science, and code tasks without additional sampling or computational cost. Specifically, ESRL on Qwen3-30B-A3B achieves the best among all compared methods, improving average Pass@1 and Pass@8 over GRPO by 3.2 and 4.5 percentage points, respectively. Further analyses of expert utilization and training dynamics provide insights into how exploiting MoE-specific routing structure benefits RL training.

We analyze the DP (differential privacy) properties of the quantum recommendation algorithm and the quantum-inspired-classical recommendation algorithm. We discover that the quantum recommendation algorithm is a privacy curating mechanism on its own, requiring no external noise, which is different from traditional differential privacy mechanisms. In our analysis, a novel perturbation method tailored for SVD (singular value decomposition) and low-rank matrix approximation problems is introduced. Using the perturbation method and random matrix theory, we are able to derive that both the quantum and quantum-inspired-classical algorithms are big(mathcal{O}big(frac 1nbig),,, mathcal{O}big(1{min{m,n}}big)big)-DP under some reasonable restrictions, where m and n are numbers of users and products in the input preference database respectively. Nevertheless, a comparison shows that the quantum algorithm has better privacy preserving potential than the classical one.

This paper deals with the formation and evolution of Mars' moons, Phobos and Deimos, assuming the dislocation of a larger progenitor as the origin of these moons. The study by Hyodo et al. (2022) argue that under somewhat simplistic modeling, the post-dislocation orbits of Phobos and Deimos inevitably collide within 10,000 years, leading to their mutual annihilation. These findings are based on N-body simulations, accounting for Mars' J_2 and J_4 gravitational perturbations and mutual perturbations between the moons. In this paper, we challenge these findings by extending their work. We incorporate important perturbations such as solar perturbations, Mars' axial precession and nutation, and its deformation along three axes. We also extend some of the hypotheses made by Hyodo et al. (2022) concerning the initial distribution of Phobos and Deimos after the dislocation. Our analysis reveals that including these additional perturbations as well as the possibility of having more than two fragments after the dislocation does not alter the ultimate fate of Phobos and Deimos. The moons still converge towards collision within comparable timescales, supporting Hyodo et al. (2022) conclusions that the dislocation hypothesis under the dynamical scenario developed by Bagheri et al. (2021) has, in the best conditions, about 10\% chance of surviving after the first 100,000 years following their formation.

Large language model-based web agents have demonstrated strong performance on realistic web interaction tasks. However, existing evaluations are predominantly conducted under relatively stable and well-behaved interaction conditions, which may overestimate agent robustness. High task success in such idealized settings does not necessarily reflect performance under realistic web interaction. To address this limitation, we introduce a diagnostic stress-testing benchmark for web agents. We first construct realistic and controllable web environments that provide clean and stable interaction workflows as reference baselines. We then introduce structured and controlled perturbations that emulate interaction variability, including shifting layouts, altered interaction semantics, and execution disruptions. By comparing agent behavior between clean and perturbed settings, our framework enables systematic diagnosis of robustness under what-if interaction scenarios. Through extensive evaluation of state-of-the-art multimodal web agents, we show that stress-based evaluation exposes failure modes and substantial robustness gaps that remain hidden under clean benchmark conditions.

Large language models have revolutionized natural language processing but face significant challenges of high storage and runtime costs, due to the transformer architecture's reliance on self-attention, particularly the large Key-Value (KV) cache for long-sequence inference. Recent efforts to reduce KV cache size by pruning less critical entries based on attention weights remain empirical and lack formal grounding. This paper presents a formal study on identifying critical KV cache entries by analyzing attention output perturbation. Our analysis reveals that, beyond attention weights, the value states within KV entries and pretrained parameter matrices are also crucial. Based on this, we propose a perturbation-constrained selection algorithm that optimizes the worst-case output perturbation to identify critical entries. Evaluations on the Needle-in-a-Haystack test and Longbench benchmark show our algorithm enhances state-of-the-art cache eviction methods. Further empirical analysis confirms that our algorithm achieves lower output perturbations in over 92% attention heads in Llama model, thereby providing a significant improvement over existing methods.

Recent research has adopted a new experimental field centered around the concept of text perturbations which has revealed that shuffled word order has little to no impact on the downstream performance of Transformer-based language models across many NLP tasks. These findings contradict the common understanding of how the models encode hierarchical and structural information and even question if the word order is modeled with position embeddings. To this end, this paper proposes nine probing datasets organized by the type of controllable text perturbation for three Indo-European languages with a varying degree of word order flexibility: English, Swedish and Russian. Based on the probing analysis of the M-BERT and M-BART models, we report that the syntactic sensitivity depends on the language and model pre-training objectives. We also find that the sensitivity grows across layers together with the increase of the perturbation granularity. Last but not least, we show that the models barely use the positional information to induce syntactic trees from their intermediate self-attention and contextualized representations.

Predicting how genetic perturbations change cellular state is a core problem for building controllable models of gene regulation. Perturbations targeting the same gene can produce different transcriptional responses depending on their genomic locus, including different transcription start sites and regulatory elements. Gene-level perturbation models collapse these distinct interventions into the same representation. We introduce STRAND, a generative model that predicts single-cell transcriptional responses by conditioning on regulatory DNA sequence. STRAND represents a perturbation by encoding the sequence at its genomic locus and uses this representation to parameterize a conditional transport process from control to perturbed cell states. Representing perturbations by sequence, rather than by a fixed set of gene identifiers, supports zero-shot inference at loci not seen during training and expands inference-time genomic coverage from ~1.5% for gene-level single-cell foundation models to ~95% of the genome. We evaluate STRAND on CRISPR perturbation datasets in K562, Jurkat, and RPE1 cells. STRAND improves discrimination scores by up to 33% in low-sample regimes, achieves the best average rank on unseen gene perturbation benchmarks, and improves transfer to novel cell lines by up to 0.14 in Pearson correlation. Ablations isolate the gains to sequence conditioning and transport, and case studies show that STRAND resolves functionally alternative transcription start sites missed by gene-level models.

Predicting cellular responses to perturbations is a central problem in cellular biology, with broad applications in systems biology and drug discovery. This task is challenging because cellular responses can be complex and cell-state dependent, intrinsic cell-to-cell variability can be confounded with perturbation effects, and destructive single-cell RNA sequencing precludes paired measurements of the same cell before and after treatment. Flow matching transports control cells to perturbed states flexibly, but acting on the full cell state can confound perturbation effects with pre-existing cell-to-cell variability. Disentangled approaches separate responsive from invariant components, but model perturbations through prescribed mechanisms, such as latent shifts or graph edits, limiting their flexibility. We address both limitations in a unified framework. A variational encoder disentangles each cell into an invariant block, capturing state unaffected by the perturbation, and a responsive block, capturing state it changes, through conditional priors and an information-theoretic invariance constraint. Conditional flow matching transports only the responsive block, conditioned on the perturbation and invariant state, yielding a flexible, data-driven model of perturbation effects without confounding pre-existing variability. Across several benchmarks, our method outperforms the strongest published method in settings involving combinatorial and unseen perturbation prediction.

Let P_h be a semiclassical pseudodifferential operator on a closed Riemannian manifold (M,g), with principal symbol p. We consider perturbations P_h+h^αQ, with 0<αle 1, where Q is a semiclassical pseudodifferential operator whose symbol oscillates at scale h^β, with 2β<α. Assuming that the classical dynamics of the unperturbed system on a regular energy surface p^{-1}(E) is hyperbolic, we prove a Gutzwiller trace formula for the perturbed operator that holds up to times of order |log h|. This formula relates the distribution of energy levels of the quantum system near the energy E to the periodic orbits of its classical counterpart. The perturbation h^αQ affects only the phases appearing in the trace formula.

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models have achieved high task success rates on robot manipulation task benchmarks. More recently, there has been an emphasis on evaluating the robustness of VLA models to perturbations. However, this robustness is still predominantly measured through Task Success Rate (TSR). In this work, we propose a benchmark-agnostic evaluation framework to measure the behavioural robustness of models by characterising how successful trajectories are executed under perturbation. We implement this methodology by extending the widely-used LIBERO and LIBERO-Plus benchmarks. Across three state-of-the-art VLA models, four LIBERO task suites and seven perturbation conditions, we evaluate changes in both typical successful behaviour and its variability, including metrics of motion smoothness, efficiency and gripper behaviour. We find that perturbations can alter the behaviour of successful trajectories, a phenomenon which cannot necessarily be inferred from TSR alone. Across LIBERO suites, we identify cases where state-of-the-art VLA models achieve comparable TSR under the same perturbation condition, yet behaviour on successful trajectories diverges substantially. Therefore, to have a more robust assessment of task performance, we argue that suitable measures of robustness should capture not only whether a task is completed, but also how the robot behaves while completing it. When evaluating the robustness of VLA models, TSR may be complemented by behavioural evaluation metrics that characterise the nature and variability of successful task execution by robots.